{"id":115,"date":"2013-04-15T19:02:37","date_gmt":"2013-04-15T19:02:37","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/blogs.oregonstate.edu\/geo599spatialstatistics\/?p=115"},"modified":"2013-04-15T19:02:37","modified_gmt":"2013-04-15T19:02:37","slug":"mountain-pine-beetle-population-dynamics","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/dev.blogs.oregonstate.edu\/geo599spatialstatistics\/2013\/04\/15\/mountain-pine-beetle-population-dynamics\/","title":{"rendered":"Mountain pine beetle population dynamics"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>My spatial problem:<\/p>\n<p>Under what forest and climatic conditions do endemic mountain pine beetle populations switch to epidemic populations?<\/p>\n<p>The null hypothesis is that conditions are random and alternative hypotheses include: 1) population eruptions are simply cyclic or periodic; 2) there are specific environmental condition triggers; 3) some combination of alternative hypotheses 1 and 2.<\/p>\n<p>Mountain pine beetle survival is dependent on availability of susceptible hosts and suitable temperature range, with the primary limitation being minimum temperature.\u00a0 In an endemic state, mountain pine beetles may kill several trees in a dispersed pattern, while in an epidemic state, nearly continuous, widespread host tree mortality is observed.\u00a0 Population eruptions exhibit both temporal and spatial patterns over the landscape making spatial statistics a useful analysis tool.<\/p>\n<p>There are two parts to the study: 1) outbreak detection and monitoring using 40 years of Landsat satellite imagery and 2) analysis of relationships between outbreak initiation and spread and forest and climate conditions<\/p>\n<p>Independent variables include:<\/p>\n<p>Host availability at time of outbreak:<\/p>\n<p>Host density<\/p>\n<p>Host age<\/p>\n<p>Topography:<\/p>\n<p>Elevation<\/p>\n<p>Slope<\/p>\n<p>Aspect<\/p>\n<p>Climate at and prior to time of outbreak:<\/p>\n<p>Min and max temperature for various time periods<\/p>\n<p>Precipitation for various time periods<\/p>\n<p>Forest structure:<\/p>\n<p>Composition<\/p>\n<p>Management<\/p>\n<p>Disturbance history<\/p>\n<p>Each of these variables could potentially be related to outbreak timing and position through geographically weighted regression.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>My spatial problem: Under what forest and climatic conditions do endemic mountain pine beetle populations switch to epidemic populations? The null hypothesis is that conditions are random and alternative hypotheses include: 1) population eruptions are simply cyclic or periodic; 2) there are specific environmental condition triggers; 3) some combination of alternative hypotheses 1 and 2.&hellip; <a href=\"https:\/\/dev.blogs.oregonstate.edu\/geo599spatialstatistics\/2013\/04\/15\/mountain-pine-beetle-population-dynamics\/\">Continue reading <span class=\"meta-nav\">&rarr;<\/span><\/a><\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":5005,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[661176],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-115","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-my-spatial-problem-2013"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/dev.blogs.oregonstate.edu\/geo599spatialstatistics\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/115","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/dev.blogs.oregonstate.edu\/geo599spatialstatistics\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/dev.blogs.oregonstate.edu\/geo599spatialstatistics\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/dev.blogs.oregonstate.edu\/geo599spatialstatistics\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/5005"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/dev.blogs.oregonstate.edu\/geo599spatialstatistics\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=115"}],"version-history":[{"count":4,"href":"https:\/\/dev.blogs.oregonstate.edu\/geo599spatialstatistics\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/115\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":118,"href":"https:\/\/dev.blogs.oregonstate.edu\/geo599spatialstatistics\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/115\/revisions\/118"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/dev.blogs.oregonstate.edu\/geo599spatialstatistics\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=115"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/dev.blogs.oregonstate.edu\/geo599spatialstatistics\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=115"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/dev.blogs.oregonstate.edu\/geo599spatialstatistics\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=115"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}