Over the last couple of weeks I have been working to better define my research focus:

A geographical approach to understand how the local spatial structure of urban green space shapes the way in which communities evolve.  I hope to inform the Environmental Justice, Resilience Theory, and Adaptation literature as well. ( I anticipate adding to this and/or changing it entirely).

Below is a diagram of the Land Use and Society Model, which represents the dynamic feedback process where by a particular land use activity in the human/cultural circle may be modified by a new set of resource management  signals issued from the legal/ political circle in response to new awareness of the impacts of existing practices on the physical world.  I will  use a version of the Land Use and Society Model to help sort out my thoughts and ideas about my research.  For example, the process of urbanization, the removal of native vegetation and implementation of  impervious surfaces has created environmental impacts on the micro climate within urban areas (ie: heat island effect) let’s say that to mitigate this impact the state and local sectors enforce the implementation or modification of recreation areas/parks.  It is the enforcement of certain resource management regulations and how they effect the social and economic components of this model that interest me most.

Landuse_society_model

Below is an adapted model that I created which will focus on the cultural, social, and economic interactions as they relate to urban green space.

weems_landuse_society_model

I want to detect spatial  changes in social/economic composition and environmental benefits of communities over time. I will then quantify the change in urban green space spatial distribution and relate this back to access, in order to understand who has access and how that access has changed spatially and temporally.

I anticipate a number of scenarios/hypotheses to arise:

1.  If ∆ in urban green space access > 0, then ∆ in social/economic composition, and environmental benefit  > 0

Hypothesis_1

If there is a positive change in urban greenspace, then there will be a positive change in the social/economic composition and environmental benefit of the community as well.

2.  If ∆ in urban green space access < 0, then ∆ in social/economic composition, and environmental benefit  < 0

Hypothesis_2

If  there is no change in urban green space , then there will be no change in the social/economic composition and environmental benefit of the community.

3. Alternative Hypothesis – If ∆ in urban green space access > 0, then ∆ in social/economic composition, and environmental benefit < 0

Alternative_Hypothesis

If there is a positive change in urban green space access, then there will be a negative change in the social/economic composition and environmental benefit of the community.

Limitations:

– How will green space be formally defined?

I anticipate using a number of classifications for green space (park type, canopy coverage, greenness – NDVI ) thus I wonder How will this be further quantified?  Can I use an index?

– Measurement of Access

Proximity ≠ access

– Determining Migration

The data does not tell me where people go when they leave…

Can I detect the concept of “horizontal gentrification?”

An issue that most researchers tend to have is the problem of getting the data.    At times our data seems so close yet it is so far away. We as researchers often know what type of data we want and we may also know that it already exists.  However, we may not always know how to get the data.  Even more frustrating is finding the data that you need and realizing that it is not in a useable form.  Finding the correct data in a useable form has been my number one problem.  Thankfully a past student has come to my rescue.  She suggested using the National Historical Geographical Information System to access census data.  The NHGIS site provides, free of charge, aggregate census data and GIS-compatible boundary files for the United States between 1970 and 2011.  I intend to carry out a geographical approach to to understand and predict how the local spatial structure of new environmental amenities will influence and shape the way in which environmental justice communities will evolve.  This research aims to develop a novel framework/approach to understand the evolution of environmental justice communities in relation to the incorporation and management of natural amenities.  To achieve this objective I will complete several benchmark activities including:

Observe spatial and temporal variation and patterns of neighborhood characteristics (educational attainment, income, racial composition, household tenure, renters) over a 70-year period

  • There are many issues that will arise as I attempt to accomplish this task.  For instance, the temporal resolution of my data will be in 10-year increments, this may not entirely capture the patterns that I will be looking for.
  •  Assessing variables temporally will prove to be difficult.  For example, educational attainment is a variable that is not available in all years of the census data.
  •  I will also consider how the census tracts and census blocks change over time which could

Quantitatively assess the spatial and temporal variation and patterns of natural amenities over a 70 year period, using satellite imagery and aerial photography.

  •  There is a lot of uncertainty that is associated with using aerial photography and satellite imagery.
  •  One that I considered using to look at green space in an area is to calculate NDVI, which is the Normalized Difference Vegetation Index.  In short, it is a remote sensing technique to assess whether the target being observed contains live green vegetation or not
  • Another technique I am considering is to use an unsupervised k-means classification to explore and assess the change from open/greenspace to impervious surface.

There are a number of things that I still need to consider when trying to carry out this project but, this is a start.  My plans for the next week is to continue to explore my data and run some tools that will help to better describe the distribution of certain neighborhood characteristics.