Where did the time go ?! Seems like we just began this term and it is already over. While I feel pretty unproductive right now, especially after seeing the outstanding work my fellow grad students have accomplished, I am extremely appreciative of the opportunity to explore the statistical tools available in ArcGIS and elsewhere that this course has provided. I found the freedom to explore our own data sets and the advice and encouragement provided by Julia and everyone else in the class incredibly rewarding. Thanks Julia for a great class!
I began the term with a pretty undefined thesis project (its still fairly fuzzy but at least I can start to make out a faint outline now). My data set is small and limited to a single survey season. As depicted in Figure 1, I have GPS track logs and the encounter locations for 20 cetacean surveys conducted in the Marquesas Islands of French Polynesia.
My primary focus is on a poorly understood species, melon-headed whales (Peponocephala electra).
These members of the dolphin family form very large “herds” (50 to as many as 1000 individuals) and have been observed congregating near the shore of Nuku Hiva in very specific locations on a regular, daily basis (Figure 2).
I spent most of this term finding, accessing, downloading, importing, reclassifying, converting, re-downloading, cussing at, etc., etc., environmental and bathymetric data. Using this data and other environmental data such as information on currents and sea surface height, I hope to investigate the differences and similarities between melon-headed whale encounter locations in order to 1) characterize these resting/socializing areas and 2) develop a model to predict possible resting/socializing locations in areas that have not been surveyed.
I was able to explore some of the tools in the Spatial Statistics Toolbox but for this data many of the tools are not applicable. For example, Ordinary Least Squares and Geographically Weighted Regression assume that there is linearity in the data. My data does not show linearity, even after transformation, and my response variable is not continuous. Running the Average Nearest Neighbor Tool produced the results that one would predict after looking at the maps provided above – the encounter locations are more clustered than predicted (Figure 3).
All of these results brought me to a point where I needed to take a step back and reexamine my data and my objectives. I felt like I was attempting to ask questions that just aren’t going to be answered by my data. My main question involves the characteristics of the encounter locations that define melon-headed whale resting locations. To get at this question, I plan on defining encounter locations spatially, i.e. delineate polygons of a certain size around encounter locations, and statistically examine the similarities and differences between the polygons using the environmental and oceanographic data mentioned above. I will continue to explore the tools available in ArcMap as well as the plethora of non-ArcGIS tools to answer this question.